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Sep 28, 2012
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back in 2004, democrats complained that the polls which showed george w. bush leading were overestimating the number of republicans who would vote. they were wrong. the polls were right. in 2000, al gore said don't believe the polls, polls showed him losing narrowly. polls were right. in fact, it's hard to find an example of the polls on average getting it wrong unless you go back to 1948, when they predicted thomas dewey defeated president harry truman. cnn political contributor ari fleischer joins us. he's an occasionally unpaid communications advisor for the romney campaign. also cornell belcher and our own john king. so ari, i do not hear republicans complaining, you know, a few months ago when mitt romney seemed up in these polls. >> well, here's what i think you have to do. i don't think it's conspiracy but i think you have to apply a common sense test. here's what we know. the last time there was a major election in 2012, we had an exit poll in the state of wisconsin that was wrong. it showed the race was going to be neck and neck, the exit poll did
back in 2004, democrats complained that the polls which showed george w. bush leading were overestimating the number of republicans who would vote. they were wrong. the polls were right. in 2000, al gore said don't believe the polls, polls showed him losing narrowly. polls were right. in fact, it's hard to find an example of the polls on average getting it wrong unless you go back to 1948, when they predicted thomas dewey defeated president harry truman. cnn political contributor ari fleischer...
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bush, ron christine joining us, and freedom watch president, bush staffer, brad blakeman. brad, good to have you with us. brad, starting, if i may, with you. this is becoming an unwieldy weight for the administration. surely, they understand how urgent it is that the record be set straight and soon. >> well, here's where the cover up begins. they are trying to cover tracks by saying initially the intelligent services told them it was a spoon tape yows attack, but the key questions, lou, is what did the president know? when did he know it? when did the narrative change? did the president ask questions? was he briefed in person? or rely on paper reports? one thing is for sure, lou, and that's this. if this happened in new york, if one of the ambassadors picked off the streets in new york and the consulate in new york to the u.n. was damaged like in libya, there would have been hell to pay. what's the difference between where our ambassadors picked off by terrorist terrorists whether the votes of new york or benghazi. how is it possible the administration and the president, w
bush, ron christine joining us, and freedom watch president, bush staffer, brad blakeman. brad, good to have you with us. brad, starting, if i may, with you. this is becoming an unwieldy weight for the administration. surely, they understand how urgent it is that the record be set straight and soon. >> well, here's where the cover up begins. they are trying to cover tracks by saying initially the intelligent services told them it was a spoon tape yows attack, but the key questions, lou,...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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one of the models that president obama has, president george h.w. bush, president bush senior. his rolodex and his friendships made an enormous difference in the quality of his presidency on foreign policy. you know, when saddam went into kuwait and the united states was able to round up all those friends, a lot of that had to do with the personal relationships that george bush senior had established over time, and people give you the benefit of the doubt when there's skepticism. look at the distrust that exists between netanyahu and president obama on that very issue alone. we could have a conflict with iran that sort of comes through just the two people not having a very good personal relationship and maybe misreading each other. i think these things are very, very important in international diplomacy, especially in the middle east. >> critics of governor romney say look, he's done his share of light interviews but it's a different, i mean, the standard for somebody campaigning who is not in public office and somebody who is president of the united states is very different. >
one of the models that president obama has, president george h.w. bush, president bush senior. his rolodex and his friendships made an enormous difference in the quality of his presidency on foreign policy. you know, when saddam went into kuwait and the united states was able to round up all those friends, a lot of that had to do with the personal relationships that george bush senior had established over time, and people give you the benefit of the doubt when there's skepticism. look at the...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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george w. bush said all options on the table. >> ronald reagan made it pretty clear he was going to take action, he pointed missiles at the soviet union. >> was bush wrong when he didn't say we are going to bomb you, he said all options are on the table. >> this was a long time ago when bush was dealing with iran, they were five, six, seven, eight, nine years from being becoming nuclear. iran now could be months washg a year away, two years away. iran has three times increased the uranium and made it much more enriched than originally. that is a massive change in a very short period of time. and, of course, obama has a bad history of begging to negotiate. wrote a letter to the ayatollah six months to talk to him. >> what would mitt romney do better? he had the same red line as president obama? >> we don't know. we don't know what president obama's red line is, since he won't share it with us, won't share it with prime minister netan netanya netanyahu, he wants to keep it as fuzzy as possible. i
george w. bush said all options on the table. >> ronald reagan made it pretty clear he was going to take action, he pointed missiles at the soviet union. >> was bush wrong when he didn't say we are going to bomb you, he said all options are on the table. >> this was a long time ago when bush was dealing with iran, they were five, six, seven, eight, nine years from being becoming nuclear. iran now could be months washg a year away, two years away. iran has three times increased...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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. >> in 1988, george bush managed a huge swing. dukakis was leading after the democratic convention but lost to bush. in 1992, the incumbent president was down nine points and died with bill clinton but october though clinton eventually won. former pollster questioning the assumption made in today's polls. >> these polls are assuming that you have the same high level of african-american, latino an young people vote in 2012 that you had in 2008. >> they said the public poll are varying in the sampling and methodology so it's hard to make the case when they point in one direction, they're all wrong. but we are planning for a close race as we always have. >> another democratic strategist offered this assessment. >> this isn't over. it can move back and forth three and four times between now and november 6. if i'm romney you try to create that momentum. he saw a sign to do it. >> of the eight presidential races in the past ten where the leads were cut or flipped by the opponent, the average was 5%. in some cases a debate moved the need
. >> in 1988, george bush managed a huge swing. dukakis was leading after the democratic convention but lost to bush. in 1992, the incumbent president was down nine points and died with bill clinton but october though clinton eventually won. former pollster questioning the assumption made in today's polls. >> these polls are assuming that you have the same high level of african-american, latino an young people vote in 2012 that you had in 2008. >> they said the public poll are...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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bush delivered. once they depend on the benefits of government you have half of the country depends on it but a lot are deserving they already paid in. but income tax, you have a situation it is finished for the party, we'll get taxes you don't pay. they are not going to vote for republicans, that is one of the long-term endemic problems of the republican party, the republican parties, my old boss ronald reagan, and george w. bush contributed to. neil: thank you, sir, pat, always a pleasure. >> always. thank you very much, neil. neil: all right, well i have a filing this might come up as a debate next week it could be a game changer that maybe media is wrong page. we are out in denver for the opening salvo, what will be for debate that kicks in denver could we're there 8:00 p.m. eastern time through midnight, unlike a lot of other business networks that say, yeah it is a big election, be there or be square, we're there. you know, until we're not. don't be late. >> meanwhile, the guy who said that pre
bush delivered. once they depend on the benefits of government you have half of the country depends on it but a lot are deserving they already paid in. but income tax, you have a situation it is finished for the party, we'll get taxes you don't pay. they are not going to vote for republicans, that is one of the long-term endemic problems of the republican party, the republican parties, my old boss ronald reagan, and george w. bush contributed to. neil: thank you, sir, pat, always a pleasure....
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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it was george bush's fault, and now i'm going to hit you block subsidies for education. housing and support. and he plans to propose something that addresses their anxieties. mitt romney, in that debate next wednesday night, it's going to have to take this subject much deeper than he has so far. cheryl: if you do smart committee would bring up the subject of unemployment. obama is tweeting about football season. >> 6% unemployment. cheryl: exactly. thank you very much. coming up at the bottom of the hour, despite all of your green going into electric cars, they are still not taking off. we'll have the latest for you. and the big move by the fed's. stocks are soaring, but not everybody is on board with qe-3. an exclusive interview with the just coming up the capital one cash rewards card gives you a 50% annual bonus. and everyone, but her... likes 50% more cash. but, i have an idea. do you want a princess dress? yes how about some cupcakes? yes lollipop? yes! do you want an etch a sketch? yes! do you want 50% more cash? no you got talent. [ male announcer ] the capital on
it was george bush's fault, and now i'm going to hit you block subsidies for education. housing and support. and he plans to propose something that addresses their anxieties. mitt romney, in that debate next wednesday night, it's going to have to take this subject much deeper than he has so far. cheryl: if you do smart committee would bring up the subject of unemployment. obama is tweeting about football season. >> 6% unemployment. cheryl: exactly. thank you very much. coming up at the...
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Sep 28, 2012
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george w. bush mia right now on the campaign trail. is it because he doesn't want to campaign for mitt romney or mitt romney doesn't want bush campaigning for him? >> well, i have to assume it's because the former president bush does not want to. because there are things he could very usefully do. he remains a controversial figure. a lot of americans blame him for the economic crisis. so it would be most likely unwise to have him on a big stage doing big rallies. but he could be a powerful fundraiser. one of the challenges that mitt romney has had is he's spending a lot of time still raising money in person. the very biggest donors want to see their candidate. but they would be justhappy or almost as happy with the former president as they would be with a possible future president. if george bush were doing those events, that would be a great load off mitt romney's shoulders. >> what do you think, donna, on this? you're a close observer. i want to point out, biden's favorability 42%, not 43%. there's the right number right there. why a
george w. bush mia right now on the campaign trail. is it because he doesn't want to campaign for mitt romney or mitt romney doesn't want bush campaigning for him? >> well, i have to assume it's because the former president bush does not want to. because there are things he could very usefully do. he remains a controversial figure. a lot of americans blame him for the economic crisis. so it would be most likely unwise to have him on a big stage doing big rallies. but he could be a...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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body language makes a difference in the debate between al gore and george w. bush as well. gore sighs over and over again and bush, the underdog, surprises by winning the debate and of course, the election. both president obama and governor romney are seasoned debaters, and experts say neither are prone to making major gaffes. but if there is one thing that history has taught us, when it comes to presidential debates, expect the unexpected. joining us now to talk about the moments and debate magic yet to come, republican consultant romney 2008 campaign advisor, alex castellanos and donna brazile. a lot of folks are saying these debates are do or die for romney. donna, do you agree? >> absolutely. first impression is very, very important. mitt romney had several opportunities to change the trajectory of the campaign, his selection of a running mate, paul ryan, got a small bounce. the convention speech didn't get any bounce, and now the first debate. this is like the first night on broadway. there will be more voters tuning in, they will be looking at his performance and if h
body language makes a difference in the debate between al gore and george w. bush as well. gore sighs over and over again and bush, the underdog, surprises by winning the debate and of course, the election. both president obama and governor romney are seasoned debaters, and experts say neither are prone to making major gaffes. but if there is one thing that history has taught us, when it comes to presidential debates, expect the unexpected. joining us now to talk about the moments and debate...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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george w. bush won in 2000, despite a roaring economy under president clinton. everyone thought al gore should crush bush, but he was able to win by talking about issues like education and demonstrating to suburban voters that hey, you can trust me. i'm a safe pair of hands on these issues and mitt romney has had a hard time doing that. what mitt romney needs to do is say look, i'm the candidate who's going to deliver more work and better and higher wages through my plan an there are a few things like energy policy and making the case for tax reform. he's made it much, much harder for himself than he should have. >> go ahead. >> it's a little hard for mitt romney to talk about what he is going to do on health care when he said he is going to repeal all of the affordable care act then say i'm going to keep some parts of it. so again, it's sort of like dude, exactly what are you trying to do here? i think the difference between george w. bush, he ran as a compassionate conservative and he had his conservative base locked up. romney's dealing with people whobds we'
george w. bush won in 2000, despite a roaring economy under president clinton. everyone thought al gore should crush bush, but he was able to win by talking about issues like education and demonstrating to suburban voters that hey, you can trust me. i'm a safe pair of hands on these issues and mitt romney has had a hard time doing that. what mitt romney needs to do is say look, i'm the candidate who's going to deliver more work and better and higher wages through my plan an there are a few...
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Sep 30, 2012
09/12
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you are not allowed to mention george bush on my show. >> you always go back to bush. >> the republicans giving us foreign policy advice is like the replacement refs in the nfl. >> judge jeanine: when four americans are used they won't even use the word terror. >> they talked about it being an act of al-qaeda. >> i thought they finished al-qaeda? >> absolutely. >> the top leadership. certain doesn't -- i mean -- you know, the thing is the republicans are so much more intent on coming out and screaming and acting like cowboys. >> screaming. oh, on 9/11 it was a premeditated attack. >> judge jeanine: didn't the administration lie when they said it was about a video, john? >> it was a couple of days into it. they were still gathering intelligence. >> just answer the question. >> judge jeanine: why didn't they say they were gathering intelligence? >> i think they should have said that? >> did they mislead the american people. >> they went on the basis of the intelligence they had. >> he is not going to answer the question because there is no way to take up for what they did. they blamed it o
you are not allowed to mention george bush on my show. >> you always go back to bush. >> the republicans giving us foreign policy advice is like the replacement refs in the nfl. >> judge jeanine: when four americans are used they won't even use the word terror. >> they talked about it being an act of al-qaeda. >> i thought they finished al-qaeda? >> absolutely. >> the top leadership. certain doesn't -- i mean -- you know, the thing is the republicans...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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george bush won at least 40% of the vote. it's more like 40. stila does a remarkable accomplishment, and now he's pulling at best in the mid-20s with the hispanic vote and his own campaign said the need to reach 38% nationally to be competitive in the state where the latino vote will be critical, so the republican party lurched to the right in recent years instead of george w. bush, karl rove, john mccain. let's reach out to the hispanics and make reform something. it's become a party that mitt romney says there is a model he's promised a veto. the gerry before the radical policy prescription called deportation, the idea of making life so miserable here that immigrants are literally purged from the country so it's hurt badly but hispanics. the strategy, that strategy means as you point out in your excellent paper, really the southwest is out of reach in large part because of this. they've pulled off the mexico. they have a shot in colorado and nevada but if the turnout is high not much. so thankfully the hispanic strategy that the romney strate
george bush won at least 40% of the vote. it's more like 40. stila does a remarkable accomplishment, and now he's pulling at best in the mid-20s with the hispanic vote and his own campaign said the need to reach 38% nationally to be competitive in the state where the latino vote will be critical, so the republican party lurched to the right in recent years instead of george w. bush, karl rove, john mccain. let's reach out to the hispanics and make reform something. it's become a party that mitt...
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Sep 30, 2012
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the fed a legally independent and ran by a guy originally appointed by george w. bush. this is just so completely over the top that we decided to do a piece on that particular email. pretty much, these messages to true believers have to exceed what we have already the bonds before we pay attention to them. we are out of time. thank you all for your attention. thank you for your questions. [applause] [captioning performed by national captioning institute] [captions copyright national cable satellite corp. 2012] >> monday, a citizen's guide to the 2012 presidential debate from the national communications association panel looking at the hours of the debates coming up next month. live coverage begins at 1:00 p.m. eastern on c-span. >> you established a third party. you ran twice. you established -- what was the name of it? united we stand? the reform party. do you feel that is needed today? there's something wrong with the two party system which has got more acrimonious with each party back on their 10-yard line. >> it's almost impossible to do it. it would be a healthy th
the fed a legally independent and ran by a guy originally appointed by george w. bush. this is just so completely over the top that we decided to do a piece on that particular email. pretty much, these messages to true believers have to exceed what we have already the bonds before we pay attention to them. we are out of time. thank you all for your attention. thank you for your questions. [applause] [captioning performed by national captioning institute] [captions copyright national cable...
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Oct 3, 2012
10/12
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bush, and that was a pretty low standard. >> bill: what do you say, colonel hunt? >> i think the specificity of the policy when you look at libya in which we wanted a lower american profile with the weakest profile we've had security since 1979 first ambassador we had killed failed. in afghanistan issues we have people training, killing us. that is not -- and the surge was supposed to crush the taliban. the commander on the ground reports says the taliban is back. he talked about al-qaeda. >> bill: the taliban really we want away. let's look at afghanistan and iran in particular and then libya at the end of the discussion. in afghanistan, you have a lot of friendly so-called friendly, but it's really taliban fanatics infiltrating because as one of the soldiers told me last week, you can buy afghan army uniforms at any marketplace in afghanistan. they're around. so if you want to dress up like an afghany soldier and you're a taliban or al-qaeda terrorist, you can do that and walk in and blow yourself up or shoot them dead. i don't know any army that could stop that,
bush, and that was a pretty low standard. >> bill: what do you say, colonel hunt? >> i think the specificity of the policy when you look at libya in which we wanted a lower american profile with the weakest profile we've had security since 1979 first ambassador we had killed failed. in afghanistan issues we have people training, killing us. that is not -- and the surge was supposed to crush the taliban. the commander on the ground reports says the taliban is back. he talked about...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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people said some really nasty things about george bush when he was in office. there are pretty awful character turs of him. there's one significant thing, it did not have the racialress nans of him and that's a huge thing. here's one thing that i think they have in common. those things didn't really work. those slurs against george bush did not really work with the mass amount of people and i do not think that these things are working in part because we have grown as a country. we elected barack obama. that doesn't mean that we've seen the end of racism but it does mean that people my age, people a little younger than me don't have that same resonance because they've seem people like michelle obama and barack obama all the time. this is more desperate than effective. >> joe, mitt romney himself have said some things that kind of go along with some of the more brazen stuff if you look at it a certain way. he talks about how the president doesn't have american values. he says it repeatedly on the campaign trail. listen to this. >> we've got to stop apologizing fo
people said some really nasty things about george bush when he was in office. there are pretty awful character turs of him. there's one significant thing, it did not have the racialress nans of him and that's a huge thing. here's one thing that i think they have in common. those things didn't really work. those slurs against george bush did not really work with the mass amount of people and i do not think that these things are working in part because we have grown as a country. we elected...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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george bush once looked at his watch in a debate. that cost him more than any factual mistake. >> rick: susan estrich, always good to talk to you. read her column in newspapers all over the country, printed on wednesdays and fridays. take care enjoy watching the debates. harris faulkner and i will be anchoring foxnews.com's live coverage of the first presidential debate, wednesday night, coverage on foxnews.com begins at 8:30 p.m. eastern time, lots of ways to participate and chat with us, live during that show. >>> let's go to the plaza where i know arthel, there are a few things a guy likes more than a beautiful woman and a beautiful car. >> arthel: flattery will get you everywhere. here's a fact this is a pretty ride but it costs a pretty penny. consumer reports is up next to tell us if it's worth it. [♪...] >> announcer: with nothing but his computer, an identity thief is able to use your information to open a bank account in order to make your money his money. [whoosh, clang] you need lifelock, the only identity theft protecti
george bush once looked at his watch in a debate. that cost him more than any factual mistake. >> rick: susan estrich, always good to talk to you. read her column in newspapers all over the country, printed on wednesdays and fridays. take care enjoy watching the debates. harris faulkner and i will be anchoring foxnews.com's live coverage of the first presidential debate, wednesday night, coverage on foxnews.com begins at 8:30 p.m. eastern time, lots of ways to participate and chat with...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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in 2000, george w. bush before going into the debates was 8 points down. so it's not a done deal. secondly the media loves to trumpet the mitt romney gaffes or mistakes or misstatement. of course, we haven't stopped hearing about the 47% remark. yet moment when obama says things like, you didn't build it if you built this business, you didn't build it, the media trumpets or takes on the white house talking points and claims that it was taken out of con detective by his critics. if you look at what he said it wasn't taken out of context at all. megyn: when you watch the clip it's clear he was making a joke. but a lot of people see those headlines and hear rachael maddow and walk away thinking the man is a moron. >> the real bias in the press is not that they sit around calculating how to hurt republicans. it's because they largely share the framework of liberal democrats. so their idea of what is news largely fits that of the white house. that leads to the second problem which is just sheer volume. when a republican commits a gaffe, and it seems only republicans are capable of gaff
in 2000, george w. bush before going into the debates was 8 points down. so it's not a done deal. secondly the media loves to trumpet the mitt romney gaffes or mistakes or misstatement. of course, we haven't stopped hearing about the 47% remark. yet moment when obama says things like, you didn't build it if you built this business, you didn't build it, the media trumpets or takes on the white house talking points and claims that it was taken out of con detective by his critics. if you look at...
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Oct 3, 2012
10/12
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george h.w. bush looking at his watch. appearances count, don't they? >> they really do. and a professional knows that. george h.w. bush in that debate, that third one in richmond in 1992, he was looking at his watch because he was trying to make the point that one of the other candidates had run over time. it didn't really compute this was sending the message that he was impatient, just the kind of message he didn't want to send. >> humor can be an effective tool, diffuse a weakness. >> i will not make age an issue of this campaign. i am not going to exploit for political purposes my opponent's youth and inexperience. >> and at that moment, a lot of people said well, there's the ball game. including his opponent. >> including walter mondale. >> what do you think about humor as a tool in this debate tonight? >> you'd better be a very accomplished actor like reagan or else it probably won't work. in that case, reagan said certain things that might have given rise to further worry he was too old to serve a second term. got things wrong. ran over in his final concluding rema
george h.w. bush looking at his watch. appearances count, don't they? >> they really do. and a professional knows that. george h.w. bush in that debate, that third one in richmond in 1992, he was looking at his watch because he was trying to make the point that one of the other candidates had run over time. it didn't really compute this was sending the message that he was impatient, just the kind of message he didn't want to send. >> humor can be an effective tool, diffuse a...
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Sep 26, 2012
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because george bush was wisely keeping his mouth shut while the gephardt and howard dean ne others savage to each other and told horrible falsehoods about each other. and we got complaints. so you are only criticizing democrats? welcome at the time that was probably true. i also get complaints. i get complaints from republicans when we defend one republican against a falsehood said by another. you're only criticizing -- they even read the story. i reject the idea that we are singling out either party for the undue attention. if we do, how come rachel maddow is complaining on the air time and time again and sometimes not in a factual way about what he set about liberals? what we do at factcheck.org is applied the general accuracy and their ad. if i would fire a reporter for turning in a copy like this i would call it a false and we screen all the ads and we look at all the statements we possibly can. we love to debunk the false political claims and i don't care which team is pitching if i get a big fat when we will knock it as fast as we can. the weekly standard would agree with civil-righ
because george bush was wisely keeping his mouth shut while the gephardt and howard dean ne others savage to each other and told horrible falsehoods about each other. and we got complaints. so you are only criticizing democrats? welcome at the time that was probably true. i also get complaints. i get complaints from republicans when we defend one republican against a falsehood said by another. you're only criticizing -- they even read the story. i reject the idea that we are singling out either...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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coming out of that first debate we were tied with george bush. so there is an opportunity for mitt romney if he takes advantage of it next wednesday night, to turn the momentum around. he not only has to win this debate but has to change the dynamics in this race. we know he's going to show up prepared, disciplined and aggressive, even tim pawlenty said that he's as good as it gets when it comes to debating. but the question is whether or not he's going to be able to talk to the american people specifically about what his plans are for this country. that's been a huge deficit for him over the course of this campaign. no specifics, no details. so i think that is part of the burden he carries next wednesday night. >> i suppose one of the problems for you is that barack obama is in the strange position of being the quite clear favorite. i don't think many incumbent presidents have that going into debates but people say i saw a poll this morning, he's up nearly 60% of americans believe obama will win the debates. that's always a rather precarious pla
coming out of that first debate we were tied with george bush. so there is an opportunity for mitt romney if he takes advantage of it next wednesday night, to turn the momentum around. he not only has to win this debate but has to change the dynamics in this race. we know he's going to show up prepared, disciplined and aggressive, even tim pawlenty said that he's as good as it gets when it comes to debating. but the question is whether or not he's going to be able to talk to the american people...